…Uneven Recovery Means Some Markets Still Lag
The U.S. housing market has gained back all $9 trillion in value it lost when the market collapsed, but the uneven nature of the crisis and subsequent recovery has left many housing markets trailing behind, while others surge further ahead.
More than half of the nation’s largest housing markets have regained all of the value lost during the recession, with the typical U.S. home worth $55,200 more than it was at the bottom of the housing bust, according to a new Zillow® report.
When the housing bubble burst in 2007, home values plummeted, and the typical American home lost 23 percent of its value. Since then, national home values have returned to their previous level, but the recovery has not been the same in all regions of the country. West Coast markets have seen the strongest gains in home value, driven by healthy job growth and limited inventory exacerbated by limitations on new construction. The Sand States that saw the biggest losses when the housing market crashed have yet to fully recover.
The median home in both Las Vegas and San Jose lost about $190,000 during the housing crisis. However, the Las Vegas housing market was hit especially hard during the recession – that $190,000 equaled a 62 percent loss in value – and its recovery is still lagging, with home values only recovering $131,000 so far. In San Jose, homes have gained $615,100 in value since the crisis, more than three times what was lost.
“A decade after the financial crisis, the scars of the housing bust are still with us,” said Zillow Senior Economist Aaron Terrazas. “The gap between the metros with the strongest and weakest housing market recoveries is as wide as it has ever been. The California Bay Area’s housing recovery stands out when compared to other markets that saw similar home value appreciation because it has more than regained all of its lost value. Strong, high-paying job markets and persistently limited inventory sent prices skyrocketing, leading to the Bay Area having the most valuable housing markets in the country.”
Nationally, home values hit their lowest point in December 2012. Individual markets bottomed out between July 2011 and December 2012.
Markets That Have Gained the Most and Least Valuei since the Worst of the Housing Crisis | |||
Most Value Gained | Least Value Gained | ||
1. | San Jose – $615,100 | 1. | Indianapolis – $19,400 |
2. | San Francisco – $435,700 | 2. | St. Louis – $22,100 |
3. | Los Angeles – $248,000 | 3. | Cleveland – $25,200 |
4. | San Diego – $217,500 | 4. | Pittsburgh – $29,000 |
5. | Seattle – $206,400 | 5. | Cincinnati – $29,600 |
Denver home values fell just over 9 percent during the housing crisis, less than half of what the typical American home lost in value, largely because the Denver housing market never experienced much of a boom during the bubble years. As Denver has emerged as a popular tech hub over the past decade, its home values have climbed rapidly. The median home in Denver is worth $379,500, about 61 percent more than the highest value reached during the mid-2000s bubble.
Metropolitan Area |
When Market Hit Bottom |
Value Lost (%) |
Difference Between Current Value and Bubble Peak (%) |
Difference Between Current Value and Crisis Low (%) |
Value Lost ($) |
Difference Between Current Value and Bubble Peak ($) |
Difference Between Current Value and Crisis Low ($) |
United States | December 2011 |
-23.1% | 4.9% | 36.5% | -$45,500 | $9,700 | $55,200 |
New York/Northern New Jersey |
June 2012 | -24.3% | -3.5% | 27.5% | – $108,200 |
-$15,400 | $92,800 |
Los Angeles- Long Beach- Anaheim, CA |
February 2012 |
-36.5% | 4.5% | 64.5% | – $220,600 |
$27,400 | $248,000 |
Chicago, IL | March 2012 | -33.5% | -13.4% | 30.3% | -$82,800 | -$33,000 | $49,800 |
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX |
October 2011 |
-10.1% | 47.0% | 63.5% | -$15,100 | $70,300 | $85,400 |
Philadelphia, PA |
June 2012 | -17.2% | -3.3% | 16.8% | -$39,700 | -$7,700 | $32,000 |
Houston, TX | December 2011 |
N/A | N/A | 47.8% | N/A | N/A | $60,000 |
Washington, DC |
January/ February 2012 |
-27.5% | -9.8% | 24.4% | – $117,800 |
-$42,100 | $75,700 |
Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL |
November 2011 |
-54.7% | -14.1% | 89.9% | – $167,400 |
-$43,000 | $124,400 |
Atlanta, GA | April 2012 | -33.0% | 6.9% | 59.6% | -$57,500 | $12,100 | $69,600 |
Boston, MA | February/
March 2012 |
-19.3% | 14.7% | 42.2% | -$74,000 | $56,400 | $130,400 |
San Francisco, CA |
February 2012 |
-32.1% | 30.1% | 91.7% | – $225,000 |
$210,700 | $435,700 |
Detroit, MI | December 2011/January 2012 |
-51.7% | -8.1% | 90.3% | -$81,300 | -$12,800 | $68,500 |
Riverside, CA | November 2011 |
-54.1% | -15.7% | 83.6% | – $218,900 |
-$63,700 | $155,200 |
Phoenix, AZ | August 2011 | -53.8% | -10.5% | 93.8% | – $147,300 |
-$28,700 | $118,600 |
Seattle, WA | November 2011 |
-31.2% | 23.0% | 78.9% | – $118,900 |
$87,500 | $206,400 |
Minneapolis- St Paul, MN |
January 2012 | -31.5% | 3.3% | 50.8% | -$75,800 | $7,900 | $83,700 |
San Diego, CA | October 2011 |
-36.1% | 4.0% | 62.6% | – $196,000 |
$21,500 | $217,500 |
St. Louis, MO | April 2012 | -19.0% | -5.1% | 17.2% | -$30,200 | -$8,100 | $22,100 |
Tampa, FL | November/
December |
-49.0% | -9.8% | 76.7% | – $105,000 |
-$21,100 | $83,900 |
Baltimore, MD | February 2012 |
-23.1% | -9.7% | 17.4% | -$66,800 | -$28,100 | $38,700 |
Denver, CO | July 2011 | -9.4% | 60.9% | 77.6% | -$22,200 | $143,600 | $165,800 |
Pittsburgh, PA | July 2009 | 1.8% | 28.6% | 26.3% | $1,900 | $30,900 | $29,000 |
Portland, OR | January 2012 | -27.2% | 27.4% | 74.9% | -$79,700 | $80,300 | $160,000 |
Charlotte, NC | December 2011 |
-14.8% | 18.2% | 38.7% | -$23,000 | $28,200 | $51,200 |
Sacramento, CA |
March 2012 | -50.3% | -9.2% | 82.7% | – $211,300 |
-$38,700 | $172,600 |
San Antonio, TX |
December 2011 |
N/A | N/A | 37.3% | N/A | N/A | $45,800 |
Orlando, FL | December 2011 |
-52.8% | -16.3% | 77.3% | – $135,400 |
-$41,700 | $93,700 |
Cincinnati, OH | June/July 2012 |
-12.0% | 8.4% | 23.3% | -$17,400 | $12,200 | $29,600 |
Cleveland, OH | January 2012 | -23.1% | -5.8% | 22.5% | -$33,600 | -$8,400 | $25,200 |
Kansas City, MO |
December 2012 |
-17.9% | 4.1% | 26.9% | -$28,600 | $6,600 | $35,200 |
Las Vegas, NV | November 2011 |
-62.0% | -19.1% | 113.2% | – $189,100 |
-$58,100 | $131,000 |
Columbus, OH | January 2012 | -13.8% | 15.4% | 33.9% | -$20,400 | $22,800 | $43,200 |
Indianapolis, IN |
February/
April 2012 |
-9.8% | 4.4% | 15.8% | -$13,400 | $6,000 | $19,400 |
San Jose, CA | January 2012 | -25.3% | 57.2% | 110.5% | – $188,500 |
$426,600 | $615,100 |
Austin, TX | November 2011 |
N/A | N/A | 61.6% | N/A | N/A | $106,800 |
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