{"id":1330,"date":"2018-11-14T20:29:00","date_gmt":"2018-11-14T20:29:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/"},"modified":"2025-03-13T02:20:55","modified_gmt":"2025-03-13T02:20:55","slug":"housing-market-winter","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/","title":{"rendered":"Is the Market Cooling Just in Time for Winter?"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>Is the Market Cooling Just in Time for Winter?<\/h2>\n<h6><em>Millennial homeowners are among those most eager to sell before prices fall, signaling more starter homes could enter the market, according to ValueInsured&#8217;s Modern Homebuyer Survey.<\/em><\/h6>\n<p>Signaling a shift in market perceptions, 75 percent of Americans believe their local housing market is &#8220;cooling off,&#8221; and most (72 percent) say they are not surprised, according to results from ValueInsured&#8217;s Q4 2018&nbsp;<em>Modern Homebuyer Survey<\/em>, released Nov. 13. <!--more--><\/p>\n<figure><img decoding=\"async\" id=\"imageid_2\" title=\"3 in 4 Americans report their housing market has cooled\" src=\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2021\/01\/HosuingMrktCooled_Infographic.jpg\" alt=\"3 in 4 Americans report their housing market has cooled\"> <br \/><figcaption><\/figcaption><figcaption><\/figcaption><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h4>Three Out of Four Americans Report Their Housing Market Has Cooled<\/h4>\n<p>This follows five consecutive quarters where the majority of Americans believed housing was overheated.&nbsp; Among states with the most robust home sales activity, 22 percent of residents in&nbsp;California, 19 percent in&nbsp;Colorado, 36 percent in&nbsp;Texas, and 22 percent in&nbsp;Washington&nbsp;say their local market is not cooling.<\/p>\n<p>The ValueInsured Housing Confidence Index registered at 63 on a 100-point scale for all Americans in Q4, down 4.7 points in one year. Homeowners, historically the most confident segment on the index, produced a score of 71.6 in Q4, the second-lowest level recorded in 30 months.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The report indicates millennial homeowners are among the most bearish:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>72 percent report home shoppers in their neighborhood are less aggressive now compared to one year prior<\/li>\n<li>67 percent expect&nbsp;a home bought in their neighborhood today will likely decrease in value one year from now<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h4>A Shift from Seller&#8217;s to Buyer&#8217;s Market<\/h4>\n<p><a href=\"millennial-homeowners-advice-to-peers-get-off-the-sidelines\/\">Millennial homeowners<\/a>&#8216; outlook signals the starter-home seller&#8217;s market may have peaked. Seventy-eight percent believe now is a good time to sell; however, only 38 percent of those who wish to buy a starter home in the near future believe now is a good time to buy\u2013down 8 points in one year. This is meaningful, as starter-home owners&#8217; hesitancy to sell and the subsequent inventory drought had been a key catalyst that drove up home prices in many major markets in recent years.<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;The ValueInsured Survey revealed some concerning evidence about the changing psychology of the housing market,&#8221; said&nbsp;Robert Shiller, a Nobel Prize-winning economist. &#8220;We will be watching these numbers as they unfold over the future.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<h4>From Bidding Wars to Waiting It Out<\/h4>\n<p>Despite observing market adjustments, 72 percent of all Americans and 78 percent of urban residents believe home prices are still too high. The latest data represent 10-point and 13-point increases, respectively, from Q2 2018. Urban homeowners in particular blame &#8220;flippers and speculative investors&#8221; (70 percent) and &#8220;wealthy transplants from more expensive housing markets&#8221; (66 percent) for inflating their local home prices to unsustainable levels.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Theories for what inflated home values aside, many prospective homebuyers now plan to wait it out before pulling the trigger:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>59 percent of all interested homebuyers (including first-time and upgrade buyers) say they plan to wait for a &#8220;meaningful correction&#8221; before buying<\/li>\n<li>14 percent plan to drop out of buying altogether if a correction does not occur<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<blockquote>\n<p>&#8220;In&nbsp;August 2017, ValueInsured was among the first to report Americans&#8217; concerns about overheated housing and a possible correction,&#8221; said&nbsp;Joe Melendez, CEO and founder of ValueInsured. &#8220;Fast forward 15 months,&nbsp;Southern California&nbsp;is in its&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/email.prnewswire.com\/wf\/click?upn=iEkBtUNHkK1JWULcnHO7NFh9GCLCpfa80kQuuR4hZEmBOdHAQqT0V3elKbSC72-2FE8fVOZ3ZxKSXwht8JnBFzj6jfWG2z4J5pSUJSv3epdiWspBVzX-2FehZlfILsYqDIvrCIidINVuWkuXYqAa6CBGQqIHBxGr8ie5hmGlVy848W3HqeIuC-2FDsLAlrdeZBWIYW2nQxs64um-2BJF70ReZmh3Mm5ayjnbMPwf5Vnq5MJQQXo-3D_DvBNzs8htBGarLZvGxwYX-2BUr0bpstldfHNp-2By3ulqEIcxcaiDAVzssi6BkeNhAzUSoaiStM280r73poJ-2BeyHgHaykpRVhReK6pqPYqwKGP02xBgQuBe-2FbJEBo4Tfw5j1fefF3nJ-2Bu-2FdSJe0uetBXwnOam97iMbumVgFXa9njIOAOSo8I3y51c-2FzdJwwdzZcsCvur-2BGgcG9KNlZPMIJuzwtv-2BqzCOZ-2BoajJnvtzIpeR7owyNGYSNOVKbQLQTS8heaoED4CbdV4bDXJDs3ZekH3zXN8fdyyfj4eOS3RE32sWotOAVSTJh0FHymsiT1NQnK\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">worst housing slump<\/a>&nbsp;in over a decade,&nbsp;Seattle&nbsp;leads the nation in&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/email.prnewswire.com\/wf\/click?upn=iEkBtUNHkK1JWULcnHO7NFh9GCLCpfa80kQuuR4hZEmBOdHAQqT0V3elKbSC72-2FE8fVOZ3ZxKSXwht8JnBFzj6jfWG2z4J5pSUJSv3epdiWspBVzX-2FehZlfILsYqDIvrCIidINVuWkuXYqAa6CBGQqIHBxGr8ie5hmGlVy848W3HqeIuC-2FDsLAlrdeZBWIYW6LrLSbASR8xmSW1qasYnS9j9gY3iTfA42epAHs7Rm2g-3D_DvBNzs8htBGarLZvGxwYX-2BUr0bpstldfHNp-2By3ulqEIcxcaiDAVzssi6BkeNhAzUSoaiStM280r73poJ-2BeyHgHaykpRVhReK6pqPYqwKGP02xBgQuBe-2FbJEBo4Tfw5j1fefF3nJ-2Bu-2FdSJe0uetBXwnOam97iMbumVgFXa9njIOAOiYXuksVyyTrTcj74JtTXwJvu5vX3fxHYlD9uHVqsIryrYjeMz9BLXxEnri-2B0Ldve4TtXVGew-2Bs3LrcznM-2BsaNs2LQgAo0FXxfr0kClZj07it-2Fop-2BHOlwuxBdo0CvpeQhc0GN8A4x8arNsuFwzI0n\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">fastest home-price drop<\/a>, and&nbsp;North Texas&nbsp;has the&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/email.prnewswire.com\/wf\/click?upn=iEkBtUNHkK1JWULcnHO7NFh9GCLCpfa80kQuuR4hZEmBOdHAQqT0V3elKbSC72-2FE8fVOZ3ZxKSXwht8JnBFzj6jfWG2z4J5pSUJSv3epdiWspBVzX-2FehZlfILsYqDIvrCIidINVuWkuXYqAa6CBGQqIHBxGr8ie5hmGlVy848W3HqeIuC-2FDsLAlrdeZBWIYW2a-2BbnjoBMgXTY9vy6C9XfahAF6condAxzye1JifYvLw-3D_DvBNzs8htBGarLZvGxwYX-2BUr0bpstldfHNp-2By3ulqEIcxcaiDAVzssi6BkeNhAzUSoaiStM280r73poJ-2BeyHgHaykpRVhReK6pqPYqwKGP02xBgQuBe-2FbJEBo4Tfw5j1fefF3nJ-2Bu-2FdSJe0uetBXwnOam97iMbumVgFXa9njIODWX3l-2FoykbmwI-2FDwyraL89XJU0cdE73NF7yNgfCjJlQnm8Laq0NkSlXKzFDXAh9uqN-2BxgKTJtp9ijUp4VZ1uEipOq9oBYP9ABcIqJAinE6MSH4pRzIrFJYseWO5v47WT8AySBXiYtio60A7AovbL93\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">largest sales decline<\/a>&nbsp;in seven years. Buyers have switched from hoop jumpers to bargain-hunter mode. Expect the market to stall in the near term.&#8221;<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>View associated infographic and details&nbsp;at&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/email.prnewswire.com\/wf\/click?upn=iEkBtUNHkK1JWULcnHO7NFh9GCLCpfa80kQuuR4hZEmBOdHAQqT0V3elKbSC72-2FE8fVOZ3ZxKSXwht8JnBFzj6jfWG2z4J5pSUJSv3epdiWspBVzX-2FehZlfILsYqDIvrCIidINVuWkuXYqAa6CBGQqIHBxGr8ie5hmGlVy848W3HqeIuC-2FDsLAlrdeZBWIYWjrZuJ0KEz8VgNzmkK9QeLiS3sFnrqcmMEk-2BkrFZiNFA-3D_DvBNzs8htBGarLZvGxwYX-2BUr0bpstldfHNp-2By3ulqEIcxcaiDAVzssi6BkeNhAzUSoaiStM280r73poJ-2BeyHgHaykpRVhReK6pqPYqwKGP02xBgQuBe-2FbJEBo4Tfw5j1fefF3nJ-2Bu-2FdSJe0uetBXwnOam97iMbumVgFXa9njIOAHwau3b1-2BOtkKjlnEZLKF2zw-2FIQ97F0oVnWIDRYrbC5pV4Cjp6kSqNnYgzKpzI4Lk-2FQvOZ13ww5TSaCqIvnzW59pCu0imc8C0fV5uYVmA-2FVrI2eZDc-2FAOocdIHaXO-2FEUPQSfm-2B8-2F2WIBB8PXqCU4nS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">valueinsured.com\/trends<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>See&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/email.prnewswire.com\/wf\/click?upn=iEkBtUNHkK1JWULcnHO7NFh9GCLCpfa80kQuuR4hZEmBOdHAQqT0V3elKbSC72-2FE8fVOZ3ZxKSXwht8JnBFzj6jfWG2z4J5pSUJSv3epdiWspBVzX-2FehZlfILsYqDIvrCIidINVuWkuXYqAa6CBGQqIHBxGr8ie5hmGlVy848W3HqeIuC-2FDsLAlrdeZBWIYWzgBMZ8OV9BKWJhtzPqfT9hxvMz-2BWfMemKT62J4P0vHY-3D_DvBNzs8htBGarLZvGxwYX-2BUr0bpstldfHNp-2By3ulqEIcxcaiDAVzssi6BkeNhAzUSoaiStM280r73poJ-2BeyHgHaykpRVhReK6pqPYqwKGP02xBgQuBe-2FbJEBo4Tfw5j1fefF3nJ-2Bu-2FdSJe0uetBXwnOam97iMbumVgFXa9njIOBIZJbrg2lDtoMCmU5tUjguW3cR94dmv7yGkLZLSsXLNTqpdT5RpF-2Bh2cVjJ40walboh1Urm1HN8TKddZ0tV4UsaVOqvqDLycTOoAGq0sMhWJ6A89JnsE4mrEmXtCx03H8wcdT-2F-2FfNhGZyoSueFvONP\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">valueinsured.com\/insights<\/a>&nbsp;for survey methodology.<\/p>\n<p><strong>About ValueInsured<\/strong><br \/>Dallas-based PVI Agency, LLC dba ValueInsured, is the only provider of home down payment and refinance equity protection. The innovative products give homeowners greater control and flexibility to sell their home, protect their down payment and accumulated home value even in a down market. ValueInsured&#8217;s +Plus down payment and equity protection programs are available on mortgages across the U.S. and are backed by one of the world&#8217;s largest re-insurance companies, with more than&nbsp;$8 billion&nbsp;in capital. See policy details and +Plus availability at&nbsp;<a href=\"http:\/\/email.prnewswire.com\/wf\/click?upn=iEkBtUNHkK1JWULcnHO7NFh9GCLCpfa80kQuuR4hZEmBOdHAQqT0V3elKbSC72-2FE8fVOZ3ZxKSXwht8JnBFzj6jfWG2z4J5pSUJSv3epdiWspBVzX-2FehZlfILsYqDIvrCIidINVuWkuXYqAa6CBGQqIHBxGr8ie5hmGlVy848W3HqeIuC-2FDsLAlrdeZBWIYWW4hZXcQLELCQANxUSGhjZlcq5hdySNaJLmcFlDbVkR8-3D_DvBNzs8htBGarLZvGxwYX-2BUr0bpstldfHNp-2By3ulqEIcxcaiDAVzssi6BkeNhAzUSoaiStM280r73poJ-2BeyHgHaykpRVhReK6pqPYqwKGP02xBgQuBe-2FbJEBo4Tfw5j1fefF3nJ-2Bu-2FdSJe0uetBXwnOam97iMbumVgFXa9njIOAzRKTVkdg4szPm90Xbce8HXfGmTxAc2ISI0yQ3rye7hg-2BZqlATaCwaAyd4wmjxt-2FVn04YhEhEBXag9YWrbILzOqy5sa3J-2F0JB-2FehP6UhMaQk4p9kqcm-2FaQChHE1vgNQrmeEWwfjR5wZGdu58o-2F0So7\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">valueinsured.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Is the Market Cooling Just in Time for Winter? Millennial homeowners are among those most eager to sell before prices fall, signaling more starter homes could enter the market, according to ValueInsured&#8217;s Modern Homebuyer Survey. Signaling a shift in market perceptions, 75 percent of Americans believe their local housing market is &#8220;cooling off,&#8221; and most [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15802,"featured_media":4822,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3255],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-1330","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-archive"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.4 (Yoast SEO v26.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Is the Market Cooling Just in Time for Winter?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Signaling a shift in market perceptions, 75 percent of Americans believe their local housing market is &quot;cooling off,&quot; and most (72 percent) say they are not surprised, according to results from ValueI\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Is the Market Cooling Just in Time for Winter?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Signaling a shift in market perceptions, 75 percent of Americans believe their local housing market is &quot;cooling off,&quot; and most (72 percent) say they are not surprised, according to results from ValueI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"RealTrends - Blog\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2025\/03\/9ced5ef4-69ab-4ba7-a7cd-ec49be7b274d.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"675\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Tracey Velt\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@traceyveltFL\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Tracey Velt\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"Tracey Velt\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/#\/schema\/person\/db05dddc94c61082eaa18f2f5e66c788\"},\"headline\":\"Is the Market Cooling Just in Time for Winter?\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-11-14T20:29:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-03-13T02:20:55+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/\"},\"wordCount\":683,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2025\/03\/9ced5ef4-69ab-4ba7-a7cd-ec49be7b274d.png\",\"articleSection\":[\"Archive\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/#respond\"]}],\"isAccessibleForFree\":\"False\",\"hasPart\":{\"@type\":\"WebPageElement\",\"isAccessibleForFree\":\"False\",\"cssSelector\":\".wp-block-housingwire-piano-member\"}},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/\",\"name\":\"Is the Market Cooling Just in Time for Winter?\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/#website\"},\"primaryImageOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/#primaryimage\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2025\/03\/9ced5ef4-69ab-4ba7-a7cd-ec49be7b274d.png\",\"datePublished\":\"2018-11-14T20:29:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-03-13T02:20:55+00:00\",\"description\":\"Signaling a shift in market perceptions, 75 percent of Americans believe their local housing market is \\\"cooling off,\\\" and most (72 percent) say they are not surprised, according to results from ValueI\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/#primaryimage\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2025\/03\/9ced5ef4-69ab-4ba7-a7cd-ec49be7b274d.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/9\/2025\/03\/9ced5ef4-69ab-4ba7-a7cd-ec49be7b274d.png\",\"width\":1200,\"height\":675,\"caption\":\"9ced5ef4-69ab-4ba7-a7cd-ec49be7b274d\"},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/2018\/11\/14\/housing-market-winter\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Is the Market Cooling Just in Time for Winter?\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.realtrends.com\/blog\/\",\"name\":\"RealTrends - 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